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Bonus Expected Value Calculator

Is a casino bonus actually worth taking? Calculate the true expected value before you claim.

Calculate Bonus EV

Slots: 100%. Table games: often 10โ€“20%. Check casino terms.
Bonus Expected Value
Verdict
Total to wager
Expected loss

What Is Bonus Expected Value?

Expected value (EV) tells you the average outcome of an action over many repetitions. A positive EV bonus means you'll come out ahead on average โ€” but this requires playing with exactly the right RTP and game contribution.

Why Most Bonuses Are Negative EV

A 35x wagering requirement on a 96% RTP game means you lose 4% of every bet placed. On โ‚ฌ3,500 of wagering, that's โ‚ฌ140 in expected losses โ€” more than the โ‚ฌ100 bonus received. The bonus is negative EV.

When a Bonus Is Worth Taking

Even negative EV bonuses can be worth taking if you enjoy playing and were going to deposit anyway. The bonus reduces your net cost. However, never deposit purely to chase a bonus.

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