1 Backtest

Strategy Backtests & Analysis

Evidence-based analysis of popular gambling strategies. Real simulations. Honest conclusions. No profit promises — including when strategies fail.

Methodology: All backtests use Monte Carlo simulation; assumptions and sample sizes are disclosed in each analysis. No strategy is presented as a guaranteed profit system.

Negative EV Strategies

1 analysis

Popular systems that cannot overcome the house edge. We ran the simulations so you don't have to.

📉

Martingale System Backtest: 200,000 Sessions Simulated

Roulette Strategy

Doubling after every loss cannot change expected value. Across 200,000 simulated European roulette sessions, ROI on turnover stayed at the house edge while the ruin rate reached 60.7% over 200 spins.

200,000 simulated sessions

Sample Size

Does Not Beat House Edge

🧮 Verify These Results Yourself

Use our calculators to run the same EV and bankroll math on any specific offer or scenario.

💡 Bonus EV Calculator → ⚖️ Arbitrage Calculator →

📐 Understand the Math Behind the Results

Read our foundational guide on expected value — the concept that drives every conclusion in these backtests.

Expected Value Explained →

🏦 Find Low-Wagering Casinos for Bonus Hunting

If bonus hunting passes your EV filter, we evaluate casinos by wagering difficulty, bonus EV and payout transparency.

View Casino Analysis →

18+ only · Past results do not guarantee future performance · Responsible Gambling

18+ only · Gambling should be entertaining, not a source of income · BeGambleAware · GamCare · Responsible Gambling